Calibrating the model

To get a good starting point the model needs to be calibrated. The starting point is either energy use per energy product in a given year from temperature corrected statistics or a constructed year based on statistics.

How to calibrate

Calibrating the model is done by changing up to three files.

  • Kalibreringsark.xlsx

  • energy_need_behaviour_factor.csv

  • heating_system_efficiencies.csv

“Kalibreringsark.xlsx” can modify the heating system share where the given factor changes a percentage of one heating system for another. This excel file also makes it quick to see what the result of the calibration changes will be as the model directly modifies the cells while having the excel file open.

“energy_need_behaviour_factor.csv” contains a column called “behaviour_factor”. The factor modifies the corresponding energy purpose in kWh/m2 as given by a specific building code and building category. The start year and end year can be specified, in addition to the mathematical function.

The table below shows how the csv file is formatted. When “default” is input all valid possibilites are affected.

Energy need behaviour factor.

building_category

building_code

purpose

behaviour_factor

start_year

end_year

residential

default

default

1.0

2020

2050

house

PRE_TEK49+TEK69 + TEK87+TEK49+TEK97

default

0.85

house

TEK07+TEK10+TEK17

lighting

0.85

2020

2050

non_residential

default

default

1.15

retail

default

electrical_equipment

2.0

It is also possible to modify the factors given in “heating_system_efficiencies.csv” to fine tune the coverage of various heating technologies and their efficiencies.

Assumptions

The calibration is based on the Norwegian energy balance published by Statistics Norway. The energy balance contains yearly consumption statistics per energy product on households and private and public services, including military. Heat production from heat pumps is calibrated on the basis of heat pump sale statistics from the Norwegian Heat Pump Assosciation.

Last Updated on 2025-11-06

Version: 1.0.1.